A rough week at the blitz board: nine games, 2–7, the rating sliding 29 points to 881 with no late recovery this time. The two wins came messy, one grind from the Black side, one gift from an opponent who walked away. The honest story is louder: a 37.7% throwaway rate, 2.52 blunders a game, winning positions handed straight back. Underneath sits a 200-game season, 91–101–8 at 45.5%, a 995 peak worn to 881. The 800s still fall (69%) but the 900s are now the battleground (41% over 162), and mornings (52%) beat evenings (37%). No collapse, no breakthrough, just a week the giveaways won.
Nine games from a 910 start straight down to 881, no bounce this time. The dip that usually reverses in the late games just kept going, and the floor didn't hold.
White scores 48% over 100 games, Black 43% over 100. The Caro-Kann that sings in rapid is the same line that only holds even here, and the color split shows it.
Below 900 the wins come easy (69% over 35); at 900–999 it is a coin flip (41% over 162). With the rating down, the old 1000s wall barely shows, just 3 games.
Mornings are the good hours (52% over 58), evenings the worst (37% over 54). The late games are still where the rating goes to die.
A 38% throwaway rate over the season, 2.52 blunders a game, winning positions handed back. The next mountain isn't openings, it's not flinging the won ones away.
Two months, 200 games, 91–101–8, a 45.5% grind that has worn a 995 peak down to 881. The 800s still fall (69%) but the 900s are a coin flip (41% over 162), and a 38% throwaway rate is why. Fix the giveaways, resume the climb.